Цены на сигареты в Украине в результате последовательного повышения акцизов на табачные изделия будут ежегодно расти на 20% и к 2025 году сравняются с ценами в соседней Польше.
Об этом сообщил экономист Максим Праздников, пишут Комментарии.
“До 2025 года ежегодный рост цен будет составлять порядка 20%. Если предположить, что курс гривни будет таким же, то к 2024 году цена составит 90–95 грн… То есть, цена вырастет примерно в три раза”, – прогнозирует эксперт.
По его словам, в 2018 году средняя стоимость пачки сигарет с учетом актуальных акцизов составит порядка 30 гривен.
Эксперт также сравнил цены на сигареты в Украине и странах Европы.
«Если посмотреть на цены сейчас, то в той же Великобритании цена в уже в 10 раз выше. В пересчете на гривни цена на пачку сигарет там была бы 350–370 грн. В соседней Польше цена около 100 грн.», – рассказал он.
Экономист отметил, что сейчас контрабанда сигарет в Польшу является очень выгодной, однако в ближайшие годы этот бизнес постепенно сойдет на нет, «поскольку цена благодаря акцизу в Украине вырастет практически до такого же уровня».
Также эксперт спрогнозировал, как подорожание сигарет повлияет на количество курящих украинцев.
По его словам, при росте цен в полтора раза число курильщиков падает на 20–25%. По статистике, сегодня в Украине порядка 6 млн. курильщиков.
Как ранее сообщали «Комментарии», Госстат подсчитал курильщиков в Украине.
Привычку к табакокурению имеет каждый пятый украинец.
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