Война в Сирии перестала быть гражданской и переросла в низкоинтенсивную Третью мировую войну.
Об этом заявил колумнист турецкого издания Daily Sabah Яхья Бостан заявил в своем блоге.
Пришел он к такому выводу, оценив количество стран, участвующих в военных действиях, передает gazeta.ua.
Колонка Бостан написана с целью защитить военные действия Турции в Сирии. Он много раз повторяет, что его страна не имеет другого выбора, как защищать свои границы при угрожающей ситуации в регионе. Вместе с тем, колумнист раскрывает геополитические интересы в ходе конфликта.
Больше нет той напряженности между большими и малыми группами боевиков и террористических организаций, утверждает он. Противостояние происходит между заинтересованными сторонами.
Крупнейшие среди них – Турция, США, Россия и Иран.
Из-за конфликта возникло напряжение между Сирией, Ираком, Ливаном, Израилем и Йемене.
Турция провела в прошлом году операцию “Щит Евфрата” и начала в этом еще одну под названием “Оливковая Ветвь” под предлогом защиты границ.
США, Россия и Иран не имеют общих границ с Сирией, отмечает колумнист. Они там действуют ради своих интересов и расширения влияния в регионе.
Россия координирует свои действия с Турцией и правительством Сирии. Сирийской президент Асад вынужден бороться с отрядами самообороны курдов и одновременно помогать Рабочей партии Курдистана, ведущей войну против Турции. Поддержку РПК предоставляет также Иран.
Вовлеченность такого большого количества стран позволяет называть войну в Сирии Третьей мировой низкой интенсивности.
Заинтересованные стороны определят в будущем ее интенсивность и развитие.
Израиль в свою очередь грозит Ливана, может стать еще одним витком развития конфликта. Израильтяне больше заинтересованы в захвате территорий, считает Бостан. Заявление Трампа о переносе посольства в Иерусалим – это лишь часть злобного плана, говорит он.
“Будущее Ближнего Востока имеет крайне нечеткие очертания”, – считает Бостан.
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